Segmental Model — AI skill for Claude Code
分业务收入 bottom-up 建模 (v2.10) — 拆产品线 × 3 情景 × 3 年 projection,对 DCF 自上而下做反向校验.
How to install Segmental Model
Installs to ~/.claude/skills/wbh604-uzi-skill-segmental-model/SKILL.md
mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills/wbh604-uzi-skill-segmental-model && curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/wbh604/UZI-Skill/HEAD/commands/segmental-model.md -o ~/.claude/skills/wbh604-uzi-skill-segmental-model/SKILL.md Restart Claude Code, or start a new session, for it to be picked up.
What Segmental Model does
name: segmental-model description: 分业务收入 bottom-up 建模 (v2.10) — 拆产品线 × 3 情景 × 3 年 projection,对 DCF 自上而下做反向校验
/segmental-model <股票代码或名称>
对目标股票做 **bottom-up 分业务收入模型**,跟自上而下的 DCF 互补校验。
为什么需要这个方法
现有 22 种机构方法里,DCF/3-statement/IC Memo 都是 **top-down**——从整体营收 × 单一增速假设推未来。遇到业务结构在转型的公司就失真:
- 贵州茅台 直销比例 17% → 目标 50%+
- 宁德时代 动力电池 vs 储能 vs 海外 三条曲线增速完全不同
- Credo 收购 SiPh 后,Optics 线增速和 AEC 线差两倍
**单一营收增速掩盖了这些分化**。本方法把公司拆 3-5 条业务线,每条独立给 driver,三情景 3 年 projection,总量必须对账回当前营收。
工作流(agent 必须走完 5
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Full documentation available on GitHub
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