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Kalshi Trading Bot CLI — AI skill for Claude Code

AI community

AI-native CLI for trading Kalshi prediction markets.

How to install Kalshi Trading Bot CLI

This entry records only its repository, not the path inside it, so there is no exact command to give. Open sudo-ai-git/kalshi-trading-bot-cli and copy the folder into ~/.claude/skills/, or the file into ~/.claude/agents/.

What Kalshi Trading Bot CLI does

AI-native CLI for trading Kalshi prediction markets. Runs deep fundamental research, generates independent probability estimates, computes edge vs. live order books, and executes trades with Kelly sizing and a 5-gate risk engine.

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README

Kalshi Trading Bot CLI

AI-powered Kalshi trading CLI that finds edge and executes trades.

Runs deep fundamental research on every market — independent probability estimates, ranked price drivers, catalyst calendars — then computes edge as the spread between model price and the live order book. Signals are sized using half-Kelly and filtered through a 5-gate risk engine before a dollar is risked.

Integrates with the [Octagon Research API](https://app.octagonai.co) for AI-generated probability estimates that power the edge detection engine.

![Kalshi Trading Bot CLI](assets/screenshot.png)

Prerequisites

Bun ≥ 1.1 (required — the bot uses bun:sqlite and runs .tsx directly; Node.js won't work)
```
curl -fsSL https://bun.com/install | bash
```
A Kalshi account with API access (API key + RSA private key)
One LLM provider key (OpenAI / Anthropic / Google / xAI / OpenRouter / Ollama). The setup wizard collects these on first run.
Optional: an Octagon key for AI edge analysis, and a Tavily key for web research.

Quick Start

bunx kalshi-trading-bot-cli@latest

That's it — no clone, no install. The setup wizard runs automatically on first launch and walks you through API keys.

Prefer a global install? `bun add -g kalshi-trading-bot-cli` then run `kalshi`.

**Scripting and agent use** — for parallel invocations, `--json` consumers, or anything that pipes our output: **install globally and use the `kalshi` binary**, not `bunx`. See [Scripting & Parallel Use](#scripting--parallel-use) below for the gory details.

Or work from a clone:

git clone https://github.com/OctagonAI/kalshi-trading-bot-cli.git
cd kalshi-trading-bot-cli
bun install
bun start

Where things live

Config, cache, SQLite DB: ~/.kalshi-bot/
API keys (.env): ~/.kalshi-bot/.env — written by the setup wizard. A .env in the current directory takes precedence (handy