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Kalshi AI Trading Bot — AI skill for Claude Code

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Multi-model AI trading bot for Kalshi prediction markets.

How to install Kalshi AI Trading Bot

This entry records only its repository, not the path inside it, so there is no exact command to give. Open gaaiyun/kalshi-ai-trading-bot and copy the folder into ~/.claude/skills/, or the file into ~/.claude/agents/.

What Kalshi AI Trading Bot does

Multi-model AI trading bot for Kalshi prediction markets. Five-agent ensemble with portfolio optimization.

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README

Kalshi AI Trading Bot

[![Python 3.12+](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.12%2B-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/) [![License: MIT](https://img.shields.io/badge/License-MIT-green.svg)](LICENSE)

**Multi-agent AI trading system for Kalshi prediction markets with Grok-4 ensemble.**

🚀 Features

5-Model AI Ensemble: Grok-4, Claude Sonnet 4, GPT-4o, Gemini 2.5 Flash, DeepSeek R1
Multi-Agent Decision System: Specialized agents for forecasting, news analysis, bull/bear research, and risk management
Advanced Trading Strategies: Directional trading (50%), Market making (40%), Arbitrage detection (10%)
Portfolio Optimization: Kelly Criterion sizing, risk parity allocation, dynamic rebalancing
Real-Time Monitoring: Live dashboard with P&L tracking and performance analytics
Paper Trading Mode: Test strategies without risking real money
Cost Controls: Daily AI API budget limits and cost tracking

📋 Prerequisites

Kalshi Account: Sign up and obtain API credentials
API Keys:
- xAI API key for Grok-4: console.x.ai
- OpenRouter API key: openrouter.ai
Python 3.12+: Required for async features

🔧 Installation

# Clone and enter the project directory
git clone https://github.com/gaaiyun/kalshi-ai-trading-bot.git
cd kalshi-ai-trading-bot

# Install dependencies
pip install -r requirements.txt

# Initialize database
python -m src.utils.database

⚙️ Configuration

Create `.env` file in the project directory:

# Kalshi API credentials
KALSHI_API_KEY=your_kalshi_api_key_id
# Place your kalshi_private_key file (no extension) in the project directory

# AI Model APIs
XAI_API_KEY=your_xai_api_key
OPENROUTER_API_KEY=your_openrouter_api_key
OPENAI_API_KEY=your_openai_api_key  # Optional fallback

Download your Kalshi private key from [Kalshi Settings → API](https://kalshi.com/account/settings) and sa